About
Making people happier, healthier, and wealthier with behavioral science, at home and abroad.
What was the impetus for creating the Center for Advanced Hindsight?
The Center for Advanced Hindsight was created out of our love affair with the hindsight bias, a phenomenon where people find things to be more predictable after they have occurred. This bias is particularly interesting in behavioral science research, where we often hear that our research results are intuitive. But we only hear that they are intuitive if people don’t have to guess beforehand what happened in an experiment. When we ask people to guess the results beforehand, we find they are quite poor at predicting (and therefore the results of the research are not so intuitive after all!)